Short answer: July in South Brevard is hot and stormy. Melbourne International Airport, where the National Weather Service Palm Bay forecast takes its current conditions, has a 1991 to 2020 July normal high of 89.7 degrees, a low of 73.7 and 6.50 inches of rain, by the NWS Melbourne monthly climate report. July 2026 brought 28 days of 90 degrees or more there, against a normal of 16.7.
Last verified: October 18, 2026, against the sources listed at the end of this page.
How hot does July get in South Brevard?
July has the warmest normal afternoon of the three summer months at Melbourne International Airport, 89.7 degrees, against 88.1 in June and 89.3 in August, under the 1991 to 2020 normals.
Palm Bay readers see airport data on their forecast: the Palm Bay point forecast from the National Weather Service lists current conditions at Melbourne International Airport (KMLB) (NWS Palm Bay forecast). The forecast point for Micco reads instead from Sebastian Municipal Airport (KX26) (NWS Micco forecast). The KMLB normals below are printed in the NWS Melbourne report for July 2026 (NWS Melbourne climate report, July 2026), and the June and August normal highs in the reports for those months (June 2026 report) (August 2026 report).
| Measure | July normal | July record at KMLB |
|---|---|---|
| Average high (F) | 89.7 | Highest 102, July 14, 1980 |
| Average low (F) | 73.7 | Lowest 60, July 2, 1977 |
| Mean (F) | 81.7 | Not listed |
| Rain (inches) | 6.50 | Wettest 13.40 (1944), driest 0.81 (1955) |
| Days at 90 F or above | 16.7 | Not listed |
| Days with 0.01 inch or more | 14.4 | Not listed |
A normal July at KMLB brings 16.7 afternoons of 90 degrees or more, more than half the month, while the August normal high slips to 89.3 even as August keeps the warmer nights, with a normal low of 74.7 against 73.7 in July (NWS Melbourne climate report, August 2026).
The NWS Melbourne office on Croton Road notes in its station digest that summer temperatures often climb into the 90s, on 63 days a year (NWS Melbourne station digest). The hottest reading in the Melbourne record also came in July: 102 degrees on July 14, 1980, which stands as the July record at Melbourne International Airport and the all-time high in the digest.
The coolest July morning in the KMLB record was 60 degrees, on July 2, 1977, according to the NWS Melbourne monthly report, whose climate record period begins in 1939 (NWS Melbourne climate report, July 2026).
Why does July bring so many thunderstorms to Palm Bay and Malabar?
NWS Melbourne calls July the month for lightning over the state of Florida, when sea breezes from both coasts become well developed over the peninsula, and Brevard County, home to Palm Bay and Malabar, averages about 5,707 lightning strikes in the month.
The NWS Melbourne lightning climatology explains that warm coastal waters and near maximum sunshine let both sea breezes develop, and that the subtropical ridge axis puts the lightning maximum over the central peninsula (NWS Melbourne Florida lightning climatology). Along the southern part of the east coast the east coast sea breeze tends to move inland quickly, and as the day goes on the two sea breezes can collide over the central peninsula, the same page says. Those warm coastal waters are measurable: the NOAA NCEI coastal water temperature guide puts the July average at 83.2 degrees for Trident Pier, Port Canaveral, and 82.9 degrees offshore at the Canaveral buoy, 20 nautical miles out (NCEI coastal water temperature guide).
The Brevard County monthly lightning estimate climbs from about 4,398 strikes in June to about 5,707 in July (NWS Melbourne lightning facts and figures). The same page gives the Melbourne and Vero Beach coast 70 to 80 thunderstorm days, fewer than the 80 to 90 of interior Orlando.
Melbourne International Airport recorded thunderstorms on 17 days in July 2026, more than half the month, according to the NWS Melbourne report for KMLB. The month's strongest gust there, 47 mph from 160 degrees, came on July 28, and the highest sustained wind, 38 mph from 300 degrees, on July 13 (NWS Melbourne climate report, July 2026).
How much rain falls in July at Melbourne International Airport?
Melbourne International Airport averages 6.50 inches of rain in July under the 1991 to 2020 normal, with measurable rain on 14.4 days of the month.
No summer month at KMLB is a sure thing for rain. The KMLB record runs from 0.81 inches in July 1955 to 13.40 inches in July 1944, a spread of 12.59 inches (13.40 minus 0.81), according to the NWS Melbourne report for July 2026 (NWS Melbourne climate report, July 2026).
Wet days are frequent, but heavy ones are few. Melbourne International Airport averages 10.0 July days with 0.10 inch or more, 4.4 with 0.50 inch and 2.5 with an inch or more, by the 1991 to 2020 normals in the same KMLB report (NWS Melbourne July normals, KMLB).
Over a whole year, NWS Melbourne found that Melbourne receives measurable rainfall on 100 to 105 days, and that a north Melbourne gauge averaged 14 days a year with an inch or more for 1992 to 2013: 10 days with 1 to 2 inches and 4 days above 2 inches (NWS Melbourne wet season statistics).
The tropics are usually quiet in July. In an average Atlantic season the first hurricane tends to form in early to mid August, according to the National Hurricane Center climatology (National Hurricane Center climatology). The record of storms that reached Palm Bay, Micco or Barefoot Bay sits on the Digital Towns page /florida/south-brevard/disasters/hurricane-history/, not here.
Was July 2026 hotter than normal at Melbourne International Airport?
July 2026 was hotter than normal at Melbourne International Airport: it averaged 83.4 degrees, 1.7 above normal, tied 2024 as the 10th warmest July there and brought 28 days of 90 degrees or more against a normal of 16.7.
The NWS Melbourne summary for July 2026 ranks Melbourne 10th warmest, tied with 2024, and Vero Beach also 10th warmest at 82.9 degrees (NWS Melbourne July 2026 temperature rankings). Departures from normal and the July 2025 values come from the KMLB monthly report (NWS Melbourne climate report, July 2026).
| Measure | July 2026 | Normal | July 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average high (F) | 91.2 | 89.7 | 90.8 |
| Average low (F) | 75.7 | 73.7 | 75.8 |
| Mean (F) | 83.4 | 81.7 | 83.3 |
| Days at 90 F or above | 28 | 16.7 | 19 |
| Days with 0.10 inch or more | 9 | 10.0 | 9 |
| Days with 1.00 inch or more | 3 | 2.5 | 2 |
The steering pattern explains the rain map. NWS Melbourne wrote that the ridge axis of high pressure over the Atlantic often stayed south of the area, steering showers and storms across east central Florida, with amounts up to 9 to 13 inches along the Treasure Coast (NWS Melbourne July 2026 rainfall summary). Fort Pierce had 12.93 inches, its second wettest July on record, and Vero Beach 9.68 inches, its 10th wettest.
Melbourne itself landed almost exactly on normal, with 6.57 inches against 6.50, while Vero Beach ran 4.00 inches above its July normal and Titusville collected 9.62 inches against 6.77 (NWS Melbourne July 2026 rainfall table). At KMLB the wettest day was July 30, with 1.87 inches, the hottest reading was 95 degrees on July 28, and the coolest was 70 on July 14. All 31 days counted as fair under the report's sky cover tally.
Last verified: October 18, 2026, on NWS Melbourne and NCEI.
Frequently asked questions
Is July the hottest month at Melbourne International Airport?
By normal high, yes among the summer months: July averages 89.7 degrees at KMLB, against 89.3 in August and 88.1 in June, under the 1991 to 2020 normals. August has the warmer normal low and mean, 74.7 and 82.0 degrees.
How many July days reach 90 degrees at Melbourne International Airport?
The 1991 to 2020 normal is 16.7 July days at 90 degrees or more at KMLB, the station the Palm Bay forecast uses for current conditions. July 2026 brought 28 such days, against 19 in July 2025.
How many thunderstorm days does the Melbourne area get?
NWS Melbourne gives the Melbourne and Vero Beach coast 70 to 80 thunderstorm days, against 80 to 90 for interior Orlando. Melbourne International Airport logged thunderstorms on 17 days in July 2026.
What is the hottest temperature ever recorded in Melbourne?
The NWS Melbourne station digest gives 102 degrees, set on July 14, 1980, as the highest temperature on record. It remains the July record at Melbourne International Airport.
How warm is the ocean off Brevard in July?
The NOAA NCEI coastal water temperature guide lists a July average of 83.2 degrees for Trident Pier, Port Canaveral, and 82.9 degrees offshore at the Canaveral buoy, 20 nautical miles east of the cape.
Sources
- National Weather Service point forecast, Palm Bay FL https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=27.9931&lon=-80.6608 Used for: Palm Bay forecast reports conditions from Melbourne International Airport (KMLB)
- National Weather Service point forecast, Micco FL https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=27.8853&lon=-80.5197 Used for: Micco forecast reports conditions from Sebastian Municipal Airport (KX26)
- NWS Melbourne climate report for the month of July 2026 (CLMMLB, issued August 1, 2026; Iowa Environmental Mesonet NWS text archive) https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=CLMMLB&sdate=2026-08-01&edate=2026-08-03&fmt=html&limit=1 Used for: July 2026 observations, July records, wind and thunderstorm days at KMLB
- NWS Melbourne, July 2026 Weather Summary, page 3 https://www.weather.gov/media/mlb/summary/Jul2026.pdf#page=3 Used for: Melbourne and Vero Beach July 2026 average temperature and ranking
- NWS Melbourne, July 2026 Weather Summary, page 6 https://www.weather.gov/media/mlb/summary/Jul2026.pdf#page=6 Used for: July 2026 steering pattern and Treasure Coast rainfall
- NWS Melbourne, July 2026 Weather Summary, page 8 https://www.weather.gov/media/mlb/summary/Jul2026.pdf#page=8 Used for: Melbourne, Vero Beach and Fort Pierce July 2026 rainfall against normal
- NWS Melbourne, Station Digest https://www.weather.gov/mlb/station_digest Used for: Days in the 90s per year; all-time high 102 F
- NWS Melbourne, Monthly Florida Lightning Climatology https://www.weather.gov/mlb/fl_lightning_climo Used for: Why July is the peak lightning month
- NWS Melbourne, Lightning Facts and Figures https://www.weather.gov/mlb/lightning_stats Used for: Approximate Brevard County lightning strikes in July; thunderstorm days on the east coast
- NWS Melbourne, Wet Season Statistics from North Melbourne https://www.weather.gov/mlb/wet_stats Used for: Measurable rain days and heavy downpour days per year at Melbourne
- National Hurricane Center, Tropical Cyclone Climatology https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/climo/ Used for: First hurricane timing in an average season
- NOAA NCEI Coastal Water Temperature Guide, all stations table https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/coastal-water-temperature-guide/all_table.html Used for: July average water temperature at Trident Pier and the Canaveral buoy
- NWS Melbourne climate report for the month of June 2026 (CLMMLB, Iowa Environmental Mesonet NWS text archive) https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=CLMMLB&sdate=2026-07-01&edate=2026-07-03&fmt=html&limit=1 Used for: KMLB June normal high
- NWS Melbourne climate report for the month of August 2026 (CLMMLB, Iowa Environmental Mesonet NWS text archive) https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=CLMMLB&sdate=2026-09-01&edate=2026-09-03&fmt=html&limit=1 Used for: KMLB August normal high, low and mean
How this page was made
Digital Towns uses AI assistance to research and write its guides, and every page is only as good as the sources it cites. Our goal is the most accurate, useful local information possible.
This page was fact-checked twice before publishing.
If you see an error, or anything you can show is false, tell us right away and we will take a third look.
Report an error
Thank you. We'll take a third look and correct the page if it's wrong.


